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Markets predict Supreme Court will overturn health care law, but uncertainty is high

The latest forecasts give 62.8 percent odds that the Supreme Court will strike down the so-called individual mandate. But there is less precision ... we can use multiple prediction markets, polls, and ... read more

Top Legal Commentator Toobin Stands By Doomsday Prediction For Health Care Law

A week after oral arguments led him to predict that the Supreme Court will strike ... “If I had to bet today, I would bet that this court is going to strike down the individual mandate,” he said. Toob... read more

Here’s What Might Happen if the Supreme Court Rules Against Obamacare

Mark Rust, the managing partner of the Chicago office of Barnes & Thornburg, LLP, agrees with Bagley and expects that the court will likely rule against the administration and strike down the IRS ... ... read more

Supreme Court won't kill health care stocks

Some legal experts are predicting that the law might not survive ... But Funtleyder added that even if the Supreme Court does shoot down the individual mandate -- or the entire health care reform law ... read more

Health Care Games: The Odds Are Not In Obamacare's Favor

But if the market's history is any indication, it's highly likely their health care prediction will prove ... the likelihood that the individual mandate would be struck down has skyrocketed. When the ... read more

Reform With No Mandate? Ask New Jersey About That

My latest article for Kaiser Health News: On Monday, when the Supreme Court ... mandate could be even more catastrophic than the mathematical models suggest. "I think the lesson of New Jersey," Sander... read more

Day Two: Updates on the Supreme Court Hearings on the Health Care Law

The Times's Adam Liptak discusses the fallout from the second day of hearings at the Supreme Court on the ... of the individual mandate. Mr. Toobin said that he would bet the individual mandate would ... read more

The Odds That Each Justice Will Vote To Destroy Obamacare

Roberts proved fickle in the first Supreme Court case seeking to kill the Affordable Care Act. Although Roberts initially voted to strike down the law’s individual mandate ... But we wouldn’t bet on i... read more

Don’t Be So Sure Obamacare Will Survive the Latest Lawsuit

But this off-the-wall argument ultimately came to be accepted by each of the Supreme Court’s five Republican-appointed justices, although Chief Justice John Roberts ultimately saved the mandate by ... ... read more

Place Your Bets on Obamacare

One thing was clear after the two hour session at the Supreme Court on ... someplace in the middle. The betting on the steps of the court afterward split among those who suspected the final vote will ... read more

Health Care: Liberals Eye Scalia and Roberts Vote

With less than two weeks to go before the Supreme Court is scheduled to hear six hours of oral arguments in the case challenging the constitutionality of the Obama Administration's health care law, ... read more