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Why The Supreme Court Should Strike Down Health Care Reform’s Individual Mandate

Filburn, where the Court ruled that Congress could restrict wheat grown by a farmer for consumption by his own chickens because it enabled him to forego the interstate grain market ... the Supreme ... read more

Markets predict Supreme Court will overturn health care law, but uncertainty is high

The latest forecasts give 62.8 percent odds that the Supreme Court will strike down the so-called individual mandate. But there is less precision ... we can use multiple prediction markets, polls, and ... read more

Behind Justice Kennedy, Supreme Court is Likely to Strike Down Obamacare

If so, I predict he will find the individual mandate unconstitutional for the following ... of those who initially supported it — wish the Supreme Court would take from around our necks. I’m betting ... read more

What's Democrats' Plan B If the Individual Mandate Goes Down?

As I have noted in my several write-ups of this past week’s oral argument at the Supreme Court, there is a reasonable chance that the Court will vote to strike down Obamacare ... "What's Democrats' ... read more

Individual mandate upheld as tax: Supreme Court updates

Pelosi dodged a question about whether the individual ... before the Supreme Court decision, you probably remember that the betting market site put the likelihood that the mandate would be thrown out ... read more

‘FantasySCOTUS,’ a Supreme Court fantasy league, has players split over health care mandate

Right now Intrade is giving 61 percent odds that the Supreme Court will strike down the individual mandate. Our Signal blogger David ... That's why true legal nerds have a prediction market all their ... read more

Rolling the Supreme Court dice

You can even place money on such speculation at the political futures betting markets at Intrade.com, where bettors currently give a 74 percent chance that the court strikes down the individual ... read more

Biden: ‘Don’t believe’ high court will strike down healthcare law

The Supreme ... court to uphold the individual mandate. Biden, though, said that efforts at predicting the court’s decision would be futile. “You and I have watched the Supreme Court for a lot of ... read more

Top Legal Commentator Toobin Stands By Doomsday Prediction For Health Care Law

A week after oral arguments led him to predict that the Supreme Court will strike ... “If I had to bet today, I would bet that this court is going to strike down the individual mandate,” he said. ... read more

Will Alabama gamble on sports?

The Alabama market ... Court ruled the federal ban on sports betting was unconstitutional. We asked Huntsville attorney Mark McDaniel how this federal ruling affects individual states. McDaniel told ... read more

Supreme Court could disrupt prediction markets with nuanced decision on health care

The price on the site currently rests at a 75 percent chance that the court will overturn the individual mandate ... placed bets will find out if they won or lost—probably. Situations like this test ... read more